Position Limits Regulation - White Papers

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White papers addressing position limits regulation.

Contents

CME Group: Excessive Speculation and Position Limits in Energy Derivatives Markets

September 2010

From the white paper:

"CME Group supports the CFTC’s mission to ensure that energy markets effectively serve their important economic functions for the benefit of all market participants. Although the evidence is clear that speculative position limits in the energy markets, beyond those already in place, are not warranted, we also recognize that confidence in the futures markets may be undermined by perceptions.[1] Therefore, CME Group is proposing the following recommendations:

"We are prepared to lead, but any steps taken to impose hard position limits must support the national policy of enhancing transparent markets and central counterparty clearing and prevent market participants from moving away from the best regulated, most transparent, safest marketplace to less regulated or even completely unregulated markets that are and will continue to be beyond the control of the Commission and Congress."

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Irwin/Garcia/Good/Kunda (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign): Spreads and Non-Convergence in CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures:Are Index Funds to Blame?

November 2009

From the white paper:

"The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the role of index funds in the recent convergence problems of CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat futures contracts. The first part of the analysis demonstrates how large spreads in futures markets contribute to lack of convergence by uncoupling cash and futures markets. The second part of the analysis tests whether index fund trading expanded spreads in CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat futures. Statistical test results provide no evidence that rolling of positions by index funds or the initiation of large index positions in a “crowded market space” contribute to an expansion of the spreads. Since the statistical evidence does not support allegations that index funds are ultimately responsible for non-convergence problems in the three CBOT futures markets, other factors are examined that may have contributed to the rising spreads. A combination of CBOT contract storage rates that lagged market rates and a change in underlying supply and demand conditions that was common to all three grain futures markets appears to be the most promising avenue for explaining the large carry and attendant non-convergence."

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EDHEC-Risk Institute: Has There Been Excessive Speculation in the US Oil Futures Markets?

November 2009

From the white paper:

"This report makes it possible to examine whether, over the last three years, speculative position-taking in the exchange-traded oil derivatives markets has been excessive relative to commercial hedging needs. We use a traditional metric for evaluating speculative position-taking and find that this position-taking does not appear to be excessive over the past three years when compared to the scale of commercial hedging at the time."

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References

  1. Excessive Speculation and Position Limits in Energy Derivatives Markets. CME Group. Retrieved on December 3, 2010.

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